Nature Microbiology
Top medRxiv preprints most likely to be published in this journal, ranked by match strength.
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Biological fitness quantifies the efficiency and selective advantage of pathogens and hosts in their bilateral interaction. Key questions--such as how much more infectious an emerging variant is compared with its predecessor, or how much protection vaccination offers relative to no vaccination--require fitness to be measured systematically, in real time, and ideally beyond controlled laboratory settings. We propose an approach that infers biological fitness from mostly non-biological data on inf...
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Linezolid is a critical last-resort antimicrobial for multidrug-resistant Enterococcus faecium, particularly against vancomycin-resistant lineages where therapeutic options are severely limited. While resistance has historically arisen through de novo chromosomal mutations, the global emergence of transferable resistance mechanisms threatens to render more infections untreatable. Here, we characterise a recent (2023-2024) hospital-associated outbreak of linezolid-resistant E. faecium in Queensla...
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Strengthening in-country sequencing capacity generated 28 Lassa virus genomes from human clinical cases, expanding our knowledge of Lassa fever in Guinea. Phylogeographic analysis revealed cross-border exchange between Liberia and the NZerekore region, and a Sierra Leone introduction into the Gueckedou area. Enhanced genomic surveillance is crucial to guide future public health actions.
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BackgroundHeartland virus (HRTV) is an emerging tick-borne virus capable of causing severe illness and death. The burden of disease is likely underestimated due to limited seroprevalence studies, lack of commercially available diagnostic tests, and an overlapping clinical syndrome with more commonly diagnosed bacterial diseases such as spotted fever group rickettsiosis or ehrlichiosis. MethodsActive surveillance for Heartland virus disease was conducted at a large academic center from March to ...
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BackgroundElimination of Plasmodium vivax is challenging due to its dormant liver stages (hypnozoites), which can reactivate weeks or months after the primary infection, causing relapses and ongoing transmission of the parasite. Despite these challenges, P. vivax clinical case numbers have declined over the past decade in Cambodia. We used parasite genotyping to assess whether the decline in case numbers was reflected in parasite diversity and relatedness as a proxy to transmission. MethodsGeno...
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Understanding host susceptibility to Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb) is critical for the development of new vaccines. Certain individuals "resist" becoming infected with Mtb despite intensive exposure; however, it is unknown whether there is a genetic basis for "resistance" to Mtb infection across populations. Here we conducted a genome-wide association study (GWAS) of resistance to Mtb infection by carefully characterizing exposure to TB patients among 4,058 close contacts in India, Brazil, an...
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Syphilis remains a major public health concern. However, current serologic assays are limited in their ability to distinguish active from previously treated disease. We applied tandem mass tag-based quantitative proteomics to plasma from 10 adults with active syphilis and 10 age- and gender-matched non-diseased controls. We identified 54 differentially regulated proteins (36 upregulated, 18 downregulated). Those proteins map to immune and inflammatory responses, acute-phase signaling, coagulatio...
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BackgroundArtemisinin-based combination therapies (ACTs) are the most widely used treatment for Plasmodium falciparum malaria. Kelch 13 mutations associated with artemisinin partial resistance (ART-R) have emerged in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) and are now reported in an increasing number of countries. ACT treatment failure rates are at risk of unprecedented increase. To summarise existing surveillance data and guide future surveillance, we produce modelled estimates of the spatiotemporal distribut...
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The emergence of vaccine covered serotypes causing invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) is a serious concern worldwide. We investigated the unexpected rise of serotype 4 causing IPD primarily in non-vaccinated young adults after the COVID-19 pandemic that further spread to adults [≥] 65 years in recent years. For this purpose, we conducted a retrospective study of serotype 4 IPD cases (n=827) reported in Spain between 2009 and 2024. Whole-genome sequencing was performed to assess clonal lineag...
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Background: Schistosoma mansoni is a leading cause of hepatosplenic disease in sub-Saharan Africa. Yet, associations with current Schistosoma mansoni infections and hepatosplenic organometry remain unclear in the context of widespread mass drug administration and co-endemic infections. Methods: From January to February 2024, we conducted a community-based, cross-sectional study nested within the SchistoTrack cohort in three districts of Uganda. Liver and spleen dimensions were assessed via point...
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BackgroundCambodia has made great progress in reducing malaria transmission and is targeting elimination. While this progress is particularly marked for Plasmodium falciparum, the situation is different for Plasmodium vivax. It is generally assumed that symptomatic patients are effectively diagnosed using rapid diagnostic tests (RDTs), regardless of transmission intensity. MethodsIn 2023 we conducted a cross-sectional survey among 986 treatment-seeking patients in 6 provinces of Cambodia with v...
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BackgroundThe widespread insecticide resistance increasingly threatens malaria elimination, prompting a reassessment of vector control strategies. As Tanzania transitions from standard pyrethroid-only insecticide-treated nets (ITNs) to new-generation nets, evaluating the impact of this shift on malaria transmission and resistance is critical. MethodsUsing the agent-based malaria model, EMOD, we assessed the impact of three ITN types, standard pyrethroid-only nets, pyrethroid-PBO nets (Olyset(R)...
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BackgroundThe 2024 blood culture bottle shortage brought diagnostic resource allocation to the forefront, reflecting persistent, foundational challenges with low-value testing and empiric treatment approaches under clinical uncertainty. ObjectiveTo determine whether a machine learning approach using electronic medical record data can predict bacteremia more effectively than existing systems and practices to guide diagnostic testing and empiric treatment strategies. MethodsIn a retrospective co...
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Nipah virus (NiV) is a sporadic yet extremely deadly zoonotic pathogen, with reported case fatality rates of 40%-75% in impacted areas. Prolonged incubation, documented relapse, and delayed-onset encephalitis following apparent recovery indicate that NiV dynamics are influenced by intricate temporal processes. However, mechanistic contributions of these processes to epidemic persistence remain poorly understood. In this study, we develop and analyze a delay differential equation model for NiV tr...
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Serological surveillance is fundamental to infectious disease research and informed public-health decision making. Immunoassays used in the study of pathogen-specific immunity have historically relied on the collection of venous blood. While critical for many public-health applications, this sample collection method is invasive and resource intensive. The costs and logistical barriers associated with venous blood collection are exacerbated in resource-limited regions, and the shift to less invas...
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We introduce PerTexP (Pertussis Time Exploration), an interactive modelling tool designed to investigate pertussis transmission dynamics and to support the evaluation of vaccination strategies and short-term projections. PerTexP allows users to explore and compare maternal, infant, and non-infant booster vaccination scenarios and to assess their potential impact on disease transmission, with a particular focus on the Italian epidemiological context. The tool is based on a discrete-time, stage-st...
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BackgroundCandidemia is a rare but life-threatening bloodstream infection that remains difficult to predict using conventional risk stratification approaches, highlighting the need for improved predictive strategies. As a result, empiric antifungal therapy is often delayed even in high-risk patients. MethodsWe developed a deep learning model (PyTorch_EHR) to predict 7-day candidemia risk by using electronic health record data from two large cohorts (Houston Methodist Hospital System [HMHS] and ...
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BackgroundMycoplasma genitalium (MG) is an emerging sexually transmitted infection (STI) associated with pelvic inflammatory disease and tubal factor infertility. Its relationship with impaired fecundity remains unclear and is rarely examined in the context of co-seropositivity with other STIs. MethodsWe conducted a secondary analysis of the Effects of Aspirin in Gestation and Reproduction (EAGeR) trial, a prospective preconception cohort of women with proven fecundity and prior pregnancy loss....
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The rapid diagnosis of Campylobacter infections is important for the management of infectious gastroenteritis. Although stool culture is considered the gold standard, its sensitivity is limited and it requires prolonged incubation times. We performed a prospective multicenter study at nine healthcare facilities in Japan to evaluate a Campylobacter rapid antigen test using stool specimens between March 2024 and August 2025. Patients with suspected infectious gastroenteritis were consecutively enr...
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From 2021 to 2025, MRSA emerged as a major multidrug-resistant pathogen in the study area. Among 545 S. aureus isolates, 67.2% were MRSA, disproportionately affecting children under five (26.5%) and males (55.5%). Case incidence more than doubled by 2025, suggesting rising transmission or resistance. Most isolates were hospital-associated (85.2%), predominantly from outpatients (88.5%), with middle ear discharge as the main source (67%). Gentamicin showed the highest susceptibility (72.1%), whil...